Detroit Lions at Baltimore Ravens

Before kickoff

DET

50%

BAL

50%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

49%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

6–38

Winner BAL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 BAL
• Scoring−0.3 DET
• Passing offense+0.2 BAL
• Offensive touchdowns−0.1 DET