San Francisco 49ers at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

SF

87%

CLE

13%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

71%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–19

Winner CLE. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−1.5 SF
• Scoring−0.6 SF
• Home field+0.6 CLE
• Passing efficiency+0.4 CLE