Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets

Before kickoff

PHI

76%

NYJ

24%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

14–20

Winner NYJ. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−0.6 PHI
• Home field+0.6 NYJ
• Rushing defense−0.4 PHI
• QB yards/attempt−0.3 PHI