Carolina Panthers at Miami Dolphins

Before kickoff

CAR

20%

MIA

80%

Predicted winner

MIA

Confidence

69%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–42

Winner MIA. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.8 MIA
• Scoring+0.7 MIA
• Home field+0.6 MIA
• Passing efficiency−0.5 CAR