Green Bay Packers at Las Vegas Raiders

Before kickoff

GB

73%

LV

27%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

62%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–17

Winner LV. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.7 GB
• Home field+0.6 LV
• Interception rate−0.3 GB
• Scoring−0.2 GB