Cincinnati Bengals at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

CIN

68%

ARI

32%

Predicted winner

CIN

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–20

Winner CIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−1.4 CIN
• Home field+0.6 ARI
• QB completion %+0.4 ARI
• Scoring+0.1 ARI