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2023 · Week 4 · v0.2 · regular season

Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

SEA
60%
NYG
40%
Predicted winner
SEA
Confidence
50%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

243

Winner SEA. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Home field+0.6 NYG
  • Scoring−0.5 SEA
  • Passing defense+0.2 NYG
  • Rushing defense−0.2 SEA