Los Angeles Rams at Indianapolis Colts

Before kickoff

LAR

46%

IND

54%

Predicted winner

IND

Confidence

45%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

29–23

Winner LAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 IND
• QB yards/attempt−0.3 LAR
• Passing efficiency+0.1 IND
• Interception rate+0.1 IND