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2023 · Week 4 · v0.2 · regular season

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

ARI
10%
SF
90%
Predicted winner
SF
Confidence
71%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

1635

Winner SF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • QB yards/attempt+1.2 SF
  • Home field+0.6 SF
  • Rushing defense+0.5 SF
  • Scoring+0.4 SF