Dallas Cowboys at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

DAL

84%

ARI

16%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

63%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

16–28

Winner ARI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−1.1 DAL
• Home field+0.6 ARI
• Scoring−0.5 DAL
• Scoring differential−0.4 DAL