New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

NO

57%

CAR

43%

Predicted winner

NO

Confidence

39%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–17

Winner NO. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.7 NO
• Home field+0.6 CAR
• Passing efficiency+0.2 CAR
• Passing offense+0.2 CAR