Los Angeles Chargers at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

LAC

56%

TEN

44%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

38%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–27

Winner TEN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 TEN
• Scoring−0.5 LAC
• Rushing defense+0.5 TEN
• Interception rate−0.4 LAC