Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons

Before kickoff

GB

55%

ATL

45%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

37%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–25

Winner ATL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 ATL
• QB yards/attempt−0.2 GB
• Passing offense+0.2 ATL
• Scoring−0.2 GB