Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers

Before kickoff

TB

54%

SF

46%

Predicted winner

TB

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

7–35

Winner SF. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.8 TB
• Home field+0.4 SF
• Rushing defense+0.3 SF
• Passing offense+0.2 SF