Los Angeles Chargers at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

LAC

50%

ARI

50%

Predicted winner

ARI

Confidence

54%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

25–24

Winner LAC. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 ARI
• QB yards/attempt−0.3 LAC
• Rushing defense+0.3 ARI
• Passing offense+0.1 ARI