Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles

Before kickoff

GB

33%

PHI

67%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

33–40

Winner PHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 PHI
• Scoring+0.3 PHI
• Win percentage+0.1 PHI
• Scoring differential+0.1 PHI