Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles

Before kickoff

WAS

17%

PHI

83%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

75%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

32–21

Winner WAS. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring+0.5 PHI
• QB yards/attempt+0.5 PHI
• Home field+0.4 PHI
• Interception rate+0.3 PHI