Seattle Seahawks at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Before kickoff

SEA

60%

TB

40%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

16–21

Winner TB. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing offense−0.3 SEA
• Scoring−0.2 SEA
• Passing defense+0.2 TB
• Interception rate+0.2 TB