Minnesota Vikings at Buffalo Bills

Before kickoff

MIN

35%

BUF

65%

Predicted winner

BUF

Confidence

63%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

33–30

Winner MIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing defense+0.5 BUF
• Home field+0.4 BUF
• Points allowed−0.2 MIN
• Scoring+0.2 BUF