Los Angeles Chargers at San Francisco 49ers

Before kickoff

LAC

34%

SF

66%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

63%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

16–22

Winner SF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense+0.5 SF
• Home field+0.4 SF
• QB yards/attempt+0.3 SF
• Points allowed−0.2 LAC