Miami Dolphins at Chicago Bears

Before kickoff

MIA

40%

CHI

60%

Predicted winner

CHI

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

35–32

Winner MIA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing offense+0.6 CHI
• Rushing defense−0.4 MIA
• Passing defense+0.4 CHI
• Home field+0.4 CHI