New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks

Before kickoff

NYG

38%

SEA

62%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–27

Winner SEA. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 SEA
• Scoring+0.3 SEA
• Passing defense−0.3 NYG
• QB yards/attempt+0.3 SEA