Green Bay Packers at Buffalo Bills

Before kickoff

GB

31%

BUF

69%

Predicted winner

BUF

Confidence

62%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–27

Winner BUF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring+0.4 BUF
• Rushing defense+0.4 BUF
• Home field+0.4 BUF
• Passing offense−0.3 GB