Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

CIN

52%

CLE

48%

Predicted winner

CIN

Confidence

52%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–32

Winner CLE. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 CLE
• Passing offense+0.4 CLE
• Offensive touchdowns−0.2 CIN
• QB yards/attempt−0.2 CIN