Chicago Bears at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

CHI

40%

DAL

60%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

29–49

Winner DAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.6 CHI
• Interception rate+0.4 DAL
• Home field+0.4 DAL
• Scoring+0.3 DAL