San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons

Before kickoff

SF

69%

ATL

31%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

14–28

Winner ATL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 ATL
• Rushing defense−0.4 SF
• Passing defense−0.3 SF
• Points allowed+0.3 ATL