Tennessee Titans at Washington Commanders

Before kickoff

TEN

64%

WAS

36%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

55%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–17

Winner TEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.4 TEN
• Home field+0.4 WAS
• Passing offense−0.2 TEN
• Scoring−0.2 TEN