Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

PHI

54%

ARI

46%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

49%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–17

Winner PHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 ARI
• Scoring−0.2 PHI
• Passing defense−0.2 PHI
• Passing efficiency+0.1 ARI