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2022 · Week 5 · v0.2 · regular season

Dallas Cowboys at Los Angeles Rams

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

DAL
50%
LAR
50%
Predicted winner
LAR
Confidence
46%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

2210

Winner DAL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Interception rate−0.4 DAL
  • QB yards/attempt+0.4 LAR
  • Home field+0.4 LAR
  • Rushing defense+0.3 LAR