Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

SEA

39%

DET

61%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

51%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

48–45

Winner SEA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 DET
• Scoring+0.3 DET
• Points allowed+0.2 DET
• QB yards/attempt−0.1 SEA