Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

WAS

25%

DAL

75%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

74%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

14–56

Winner DAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 DAL
• QB yards/attempt+0.5 DAL
• Scoring+0.5 DAL
• Passing offense−0.3 WAS