Tennessee Titans at Pittsburgh Steelers

Before kickoff

TEN

57%

PIT

43%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–19

Winner PIT. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 PIT
• Rushing defense−0.5 TEN
• Passing defense+0.3 PIT
• Scoring−0.3 TEN