Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears

Before kickoff

MIN

69%

CHI

31%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

69%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–9

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 CHI
• QB yards/attempt−0.5 MIN
• Scoring−0.5 MIN
• Passing offense+0.3 CHI