Green Bay Packers at Baltimore Ravens

Before kickoff

GB

78%

BAL

22%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

75%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–30

Winner GB. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 BAL
• QB yards/attempt−0.5 GB
• Passing defense−0.3 GB
• Turnovers−0.3 GB