Arizona Cardinals at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

ARI

75%

DET

25%

Predicted winner

ARI

Confidence

73%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

12–30

Winner DET. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 DET
• Scoring−0.6 ARI
• Points allowed+0.5 DET
• Passing defense−0.3 ARI