New York Giants at Los Angeles Chargers

Before kickoff

NYG

17%

LAC

83%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

78%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–37

Winner LAC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 LAC
• QB yards/attempt+0.6 LAC
• Scoring+0.5 LAC
• Passing offense−0.3 NYG