Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

Before kickoff

CHI

18%

GB

82%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

77%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

30–45

Winner GB. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 GB
• Scoring+0.5 GB
• Offensive touchdowns+0.3 GB
• Turnovers+0.3 GB