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2021 · Week 14 · v0.2 · regular season

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

BAL
33%
CLE
67%
Predicted winner
CLE
Confidence
67%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

2224

Winner CLE. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Home field+0.8 CLE
  • Passing defense+0.4 CLE
  • Rushing defense−0.2 BAL
  • QB yards/attempt+0.2 CLE