Washington Commanders at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

WAS

50%

CAR

50%

Predicted winner

WAS

Confidence

53%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–21

Winner WAS. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 CAR
• Passing defense+0.5 CAR
• QB yards/attempt−0.5 WAS
• Points allowed−0.2 WAS