Pittsburgh Steelers at Los Angeles Chargers

Before kickoff

PIT

33%

LAC

67%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

65%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

37–41

Winner LAC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 LAC
• QB yards/attempt+0.5 LAC
• Rushing defense−0.3 PIT
• Points allowed+0.3 LAC