Philadelphia Eagles at Denver Broncos

Before kickoff

PHI

55%

DEN

45%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

56%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

30–13

Winner PHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 DEN
• Points allowed−0.2 PHI
• Scoring−0.2 PHI
• Rushing defense+0.2 DEN