New Orleans Saints at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

NO

44%

TEN

56%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

56%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–23

Winner TEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 TEN
• QB yards/attempt+0.5 TEN
• Rushing defense−0.4 NO
• Points allowed+0.3 TEN