Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots

Before kickoff

CLE

61%

NE

39%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

7–45

Winner NE. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 NE
• Rushing defense−0.3 CLE
• Turnovers−0.2 CLE
• Points allowed−0.2 CLE