Las Vegas Raiders at New York Giants

Before kickoff

LV

69%

NYG

31%

Predicted winner

LV

Confidence

64%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

16–23

Winner NYG. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 NYG
• Scoring−0.5 LV
• QB yards/attempt−0.3 LV
• Passing offense+0.3 NYG