New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks

Before kickoff

NO

76%

SEA

24%

Predicted winner

NO

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–10

Winner NO. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 SEA
• Rushing defense−0.5 NO
• Passing defense−0.4 NO
• QB yards/attempt−0.3 NO