Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

KC

37%

TEN

63%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

3–27

Winner TEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 TEN
• Passing offense+0.4 TEN
• Offensive touchdowns−0.4 KC
• Turnovers+0.3 TEN