Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens

Before kickoff

CIN

30%

BAL

70%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

64%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

41–17

Winner CIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 BAL
• Scoring+0.4 BAL
• Rushing defense+0.3 BAL
• Passing defense−0.2 CIN