Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens

Before kickoff

LAC

44%

BAL

56%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

52%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

6–34

Winner BAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 BAL
• Rushing defense+0.6 BAL
• Passing defense−0.5 LAC
• Passing offense+0.3 BAL