San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

SF

35%

ARI

65%

Predicted winner

ARI

Confidence

56%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

10–17

Winner ARI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 ARI
• Scoring+0.3 ARI
• QB yards/attempt+0.3 ARI
• Rushing defense−0.3 SF