Tennessee Titans at New York Jets

Before kickoff

TEN

82%

NYJ

18%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

65%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–27

Winner NYJ. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−1.1 TEN
• Home field+0.8 NYJ
• QB yards/attempt−0.3 TEN
• Interception rate−0.3 TEN